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[外行报告] 汇丰银行:中国宏观经济研究报告2009年10月(免费) [推广有奖]

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bigfoot0518 发表于 2009-10-22 15:51:42 |显示全部楼层 |坛友微信交流群
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China must lift consumption to sustain
the recovery
􀀗 This calls for rebalancing fiscal
stimulus from construction to education
and healthcare
China’s growth has rebounded strongly amid massive fiscal and
monetary stimuli. This infrastructure-led recovery will likely be
sustained into 2010, not least because the long-term railway and
road projects won’t fade overnight. If anything, the risk to our
9.5% GDP growth projection for next year is on the upside,
especially if exports recover faster than expected.
But to maintain this pace beyond next year, China must act
to further stimulate consumption to promote more balanced
growth. To a certain extent, the high and still-rising savings
rate of Chinese households reflects demographic trends and
cultural factors that cannot be easily altered in the short run.
Yet some macro policies, such as boosting fiscal spending
on education and healthcare, can lower Chinese consumers’
precautionary savings.
The next step for Beijing policymakers is not about how and
when to exit stimulus spending. Rather, we believe
rebalancing stimulus away from new construction projects
towards education and healthcare will become the new policy
focus in coming years. The recent launch of the plan to
overhaul the healthcare system – involving RMB850bn of
new fiscal spending over the next three years – is a good start.
But given the government’s nearly 40% savings rate and tiny
debt, we believe Beijing can and should double new spending
in these areas. Combined with a rising supply of welfare
housing and consumer credit, this is likely to prompt a gradual
pick-up in consumption growth over the next three years.
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关键词:宏观经济研究 中国宏观经济 研究报告 汇丰银行 宏观经济 中国 宏观经济 研究报告 汇丰银行

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zhuyan0819 + 1 + 1 + 1 感谢你上传的免费报告!!虽然其他的太贵了 ...

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coffee20180 发表于 2009-10-30 14:02:14 |显示全部楼层 |坛友微信交流群
楼主辛苦了!

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ldh1980 发表于 2009-10-30 21:07:26 |显示全部楼层 |坛友微信交流群
dddddddddddddddd

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surewin009 发表于 2009-10-30 21:29:03 |显示全部楼层 |坛友微信交流群
下了 挺不错的。。。。

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刘家珍 发表于 2009-10-30 21:54:26 |显示全部楼层 |坛友微信交流群
谢 谢 楼 主

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czd7290 发表于 2012-11-25 08:43:45 |显示全部楼层 |坛友微信交流群
请问是,完整的中文版吗?

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