- iceberg risk.pdf
Part One: Standards of Deviation
“Missing the Iceberg for the Ice Cubes” 1
Chapter 1: Odd Odds of Odds 10
Chapter 2: New Angles on Pascal’s Triangle 22
Chapter 3: Amazing Tails of Risk 33
Chapter 4: More Amazing Tails 44
Chapter 5: The Creation of Correlation 57
Chapter 6: Defining Moments from De Finetti 69
Chapter 7: Big Risks in Value at Risk 80
Chapter 8: Good Approximations Behaving Badly 91
Chapter 9: The Abnormality of Normality 102
Chapter 10: Dependent
Chapter 11: Just Desserts 129
Part 2: Insights into Ignorance
“More Dollars than Sense” 139
Chapter 12: Teaching Elephants to Dance 146
Chapter 13: Betting on Beta 160
Chapter 14: Relief through Beliefs 172
Chapter 15: Rating Risks without Regret 185
Chapter 16: Unusually Useful Utility 196
Chapter 17: Optimal Overlays 206
Chapter 18: Adjusted Advice 218
Chapter 19: Higher-Order High Jinks 229
Chapter 20: A Question of Rebalance 242
Chapter 21: Weighing the Options 255
Chapter 22: Fixing the Focus 268
Chapter 23: The Rooster Principle 282
[此贴子已经被作者于2006-2-13 11:02:31编辑过]